The Jobless Recovery is Complete

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 It has been several years of watching millions of people chase the few jobs out there but that is changing in a hurry and permanently. Early November numbers indicate that 321,000 jobs were added to the U.S. economy. Revisions for September and October show that 44,000 more jobs than had been estimated were actually added. 2014 is turning out to be the biggest employment growth year since 1999. Unemployment Will Remain Low Within the next couple of years, the concern will shift from unemployment to labor shortages. Baby boomers continue retiring at an unprecedented rate. More than a quarter million Americans turn 65 every month. Many remained in the workforce during the recession because they saw their Wall Street invested retirement accounts shrink. Wall Street has recovered and these seniors are now feeling more confident about leaving the workforce. Only about 17% of baby boomers have retired to date, meaning a lot of jobs will become available in the near term future. The peak hiring of the millennial generation has passed meaning fewer people will be entering the workforce. As soon as next year, those born between 1981 and the early 2000s will become the majority of the workforce. They will soon be earning more money and have increased purchasing power across the entire economic spectrum, including homes. What This Means for Real Estate The shrinking workforce and millennials becoming dominate in the economy creates two significant changes in the residential real estate market. First, wages for these first time homebuyers are going up. Although the millennial generation has shown a preference for inner city apartment renting, this should change as their wages increase and they become more family orientated. In the early 2020s, many more first time buyers are expected to enter the market. However, not in the numbers that baby boomers once bought at. In addition, as baby boomer age, many will move out of the family home and into some type of senior housing. This will create an abundant market of existing houses. The second major change coming is that interest rates are going to start going up. The Federal Reserve has been artificially holding interest rates down to stimulate the economy. With unemployment down and wages heading up this artificial stimulation is about to end. Most experts now expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates beginning the summer of 2015. Exactly how this will affect real estate isn’t completely clear. While the raising income of millenials will absorb some of this increase in interest rates the increase will certainly lock some of the younger generation out of the marketplace. The banks have also been easing access to mortgages lately. If this continues, it’s likely to add more fuel to the real estate market. 2015 very likely will be a year of strong growth. The Real Estate Future With optimism comes a tendency for many to over react. A building and investing cycle is on the horizon. If investors and builders are overly optimistic, this could lead to another cycle of boom and bust. Real estate is always a market of supply and demand. Hopefully, we’ve learned from the past and will keep supply and demand in balance to create a stable market going forward. The real estate market also has several moving influences pushing it in several different directions. Currently there are some major forces at work. While another major event like another recession could change everything, right now the future of real estate is promising.

Thoughts on Real Estate Investing

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Whether you’re a seasoned professional or a novice investor there are fundamentals that you should always be paying attention to when investing in real estate. The fundamentals for beginners may be second nature to experienced investors but they aren’t to the beginner. The beginner needs to keep these in mind every step in the process of making his or her first purchase and sale.

Money can be made in any type of real estate market but it takes different strategies that change on a regular basis. There are two basic investment strategies. One is to buy and hold as rentals and the other buy and flip as quickly as possible. Within those two basic strategies are many other options. Today, one of the better buy and hold strategies is the lease option where you hold for a few years but have a plan to sell to the renter at a future date. For those wanting to flip houses, being able to owner finance them (even using other people’s money) is a great strategy. Both of these strategies are working well today because of the tough lending qualifications and because so many people have damaged credit scores coming out of the recession.

Real Estate Investing for Beginners

First and foremost, have an exist strategy. Never buy a house just because you can get it at a good discount. Know exactly what you are going to do with it once you own it. It’s also preferable to have a plan “B” and a plan “C”. Once you have an exit strategy, join an investment club if you haven’t already. Decide on a couple of experienced members that you trust and possibly use the exit strategy you’ve decided on. Invite them to lunch. Explain your strategy to them and ask them to punch as many holes in it as they can. Use the information you learn to improve your plan.

Expert advice for beginners is invaluable. An example of a big mistake one beginner was advised not to make involved a double lot. The beginner had found a double lot at a deep discount in a lower to middle income subdivision. He saw a huge opportunity to buy the lot and then go through the permit process to subdivide it with the intention of more than doubling his investment by selling two individual lots at retail. When he discussed his plan with an expert, the expert suggested that before making the purchase he first look into his ability to subdivide the property. When the beginner did, he learned that it could not be subdivided because of a wildlife habitat issue. The only use the property was suitable for was building a small mansion in the middle of low-end neighborhood. Obviously not a good investment strategy.

Real Estate Investing for the Experienced

If you’re at the top of your game, the best thing you can do to stay there is remain humble. Lack of humility is the biggest problem any businessperson can cause for them self. People simply don’t like doing business with someone that is arrogant. The best deals won’t be made available to you. When you do find a decent deal, negotiations won’t go in your favor when you portray yourself as always coming out on top. Stay humble and you’ll do much better.

Being humble includes offering your experience and knowledge to beginners and others less experienced than yourself. Don’t think of them as competitors and blow off their requests for help. There are plenty of deals for everyone. Occasionally, taking the time to thoroughly think through the strategic basics will also help keep you at the top of your game.

Is Real Estate The Right Business For You?

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No matter what your politics, you must be aware of the ever-growing pile of regulations that confront anyone who wants to start a new business.

I knew a smart entrepreneur who once wanted to start a small business printing pricing books for contractors using a database and laser printers.He was in a large city in a state on the east coast, and thought it would be easy to get rolling, as he only needed to rent a few hundred square feet in a building dedicated to rental offices, and use two desks, a computer, and a couple of off-the-shelf laser printers.

Starting a business can be simple or very difficult depending on the business.

In jumping through the business licensing hoops at the county level, our entrepreneur found that they wanted plans of the building and a full report of all activities of those using the office. This was in spite of the fact that this building had been housing small business offices as rentals for many years. Then because he used the words “printing books,” he was tasked to report the chemical composition of the inks he would be using in printing and their possible hazards and remediation he would be doing. He finally managed to convince them that laser printer cartridges were safe and presented no hazard. Even so, his business license fee was hundreds of dollars each year because that’s what “printing businesses” pay.

The point of this little story is that these type of hurdles, valid concerns or not, jump up in the path of just about any new business that requires lease space, warehousing, employees, personal contact, food preparation, or customer traffic. A real estate investment business can, and most do, start at the kitchen table, requires no employees, and has no customer traffic. It’s the perfect business for the sole entrepreneur wanting to do something profitable without a lot of bureaucracy, licenses, and special insurance costs in the way.

A quote attributed to Albert Einstein defined insanity as “doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” Of course that’s not the clinical definition, but it certainly pegs the reason so many people who want to change their financial futures are unsuccessful. Though they want to increase their income and build a retirement nest egg, they can’t seem to get out of their current rut. They are almost always confronted early on with the question from friends and relatives: “Are you insane? You can lose a lot of money in real estate; just look at the crash in 2007!” Or “Remember when Uncle Harold lost his rear on that piece of land he bought back in 1987?”.

If they let these questions and comments into their head, they’re going to keep going to work every day, getting the same paycheck, and they’re never going to take that step toward financial security. They keep doing the same things over and over again, but they just keep hoping that the results will change at some point. If they ignore the doubt and fear and concentrate on the reasons real estate investment is almost the perfect new business, they can get out of their rut.

Real estate is flexible in terms of strategies and time and money requirements.

Learning the right way to invest in real estate, and adapting the many ways in which profits are earned, there is little risk and start-up costs are almost nothing. Whether it’s locating deals for others for a fee, wholesaling, flipping houses, or rental property investing, there will be one or more strategies perfect for just about everyone.

All I’m selling here is the idea that many people can improve your financial future, and do so without a lot of money and time invested on the front end. It’s not for everyone, but it could be for you. You won’t be jumping through bureaucratic hoops for an office space, nor will you need a real estate license. All you need is the desire and a commitment to be sane. Insanity is going out tomorrow and doing what you did today and yesterday, but expecting different financial results.

Visa Changes Should Help Chinese Buy US Property

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Investment in US real estate from overseas buyers could increase dramatically next year due to changes to the reciprocal US/China visa agreement. Students can be issued with five year multiple entry visas, while business travelers and tourists can be issued with ten year multiple entry visas.

These changes took effect earlier this month, and should make it easier for Chinese who wish to invest in US property. Often Chinese parents will purchase a home for children studying abroad, and the five year visa will also help students on a four year degree course.  Chinese investors who are currently undecided about purchasing US property should find these new changes encouraging.

According to the article in RisMedia, these changes could bring about a 15% increase in Chinese investment next year. Data from the NAR 2013 Profile of International Home Buying Activity shows the fastest-growing source of International clients has been from China and Canada. Real estate purchases by Chinese buyers have accounted for 12% of international transactions, and many of these are paid for in cash. Apparently Chinese buyers tend to look for property in the highest average price range and will pay cash around 70% of the time. Buyers have an average budget of $3 million and the median property purchase price is $425,000. This is much higher than the US median of $199,500. Popular areas for real estate investment by Chinese purchasers include Houston, Detroit, Philadelphia, Los Angeles and New York City.

Experts also point out that these recent changes to visas provide an opportunity for real estate agents as international buyers tend to greatly appreciate the knowledge and assistance conveyed by real estate agents. It’s not always necessary to be fluent in the overseas buyer’s native language. Home sellers may also prefer to find a real estate agent who markets their listings in China, as this is the fastest growing group of overseas buyers and could mean a quicker or better transaction for the seller. Real estate agents are also being advised to make international marketing part of their weekly business plan.

It’s thought that the extension of the student visa could have more impact on the US housing market than the changes to the business traveler and tourist visas, as a considerable number of Chinese students are educated in American schools. Even though every Chinese investor is in a slightly different situation, most will have an underlying belief in the US real estate market.

Rent to Own Comes With Many Options

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There are many ways for both the seller and buyer to both benefit from rent to own homes. Rent to own contracts are not standard purchase contracts. The seller and buyer can write almost any clauses into the contract that meet their needs. Today’s real estate market is showing signs of recovery but it would be even stronger if more buyers could qualify for loans.

Back on January 10, 2014, new mortgage underwriting criteria went into affect requiring a debt-to-income ratio of less than 43 percent for most qualified mortgages. The result is fewer potential buyers qualifying for a loan. Under the right conditions, rent to own homes become a good option for both the buyer and the seller.

Structuring the Contract

Rules vary from state to state but you can create a contract allowing lease options that benefit both the seller and the buyer. Typically, a lease option agreement allows the renter to buy the house within a set amount of time but doesn’t require him or her to make the purchase. Often the down payment and debt to income ratio are the major obstacles preventing the want-to-be buyer from qualifying for a traditional mortgage.

The lease option agreement can be written so that the renter qualifies for a loan some time in the not to distant future. The lease option can help the tenant/buyer over come the common mortgage stumbling blocks by helping the buyer earn equity in the house. This can be done by charging a higher than market rate of rent and applying a portion of the rent towards the down payment.

If the house is selling for $125,000 and $400 of the rent is applied towards the down payment, it will take about 5 years for the renter to accumulate a 20% down payment. If the lease option fee is applied towards the down payment, needed equity will be in place sooner.

Another option for lease option can include a version of seller financing. This is when the seller carries the mortgage instead of having the buyer qualify with a bank. Since the seller is going to want all of their money sooner rather than later, a balloon payment is included in the contract. The buyer then finances the balloon payment with a traditional mortgage at a future date.

The seller can help the buyer qualify for a traditional loan by reporting timely payments to the credit bureaus. Of course, the buyer needs to stay current with the payments or the seller will foreclose on the house in a seller financing arrangement or evict the tenant in a lease option arrangement that hasn’t been converted into a sale.

How the Seller Benefits

There are several ways the seller benefits from a rent to own home contract. The first way is that typically the selling price of the homes is about 10% higher than the current market rate. The buyer should accept the higher selling price for a couple of reasons. First, a lease option allows the renter to buy the home but doesn’t require him or her to. This means the seller has more risk than in a traditional sale. Second, the house is most likely to be worth more money when the renter converts to a buyer at a future date.

However, rent to own home contracts need to have some built in protections for the renter as well. For instance, the current owner should not be allowed to take out a new mortgage on the property. The renter should also have the title checked to be sure the owner is fully entitled to sell the home.

While rent to own homes contracts are a good tool for both sellers and buyers in today’s credit strapped economy, they are not without risk. Both parties to the transaction are best served by having a real estate attorney draw up the rent to own homes contract.

Things to Think About When Purchasing a Home

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Purchasing a home is the largest financial decision most of us will make so it’s important to do your due diligence. Things to take into consideration include the type of property you can afford, and which neighborhood will be best for you.

It’s important to consider every point very carefully and to resist making an emotional decision that you may regret later on down the line. One thing that does need to be addressed is what will happen if you lose your job, as if you believe it may be at risk in the foreseeable future, it might not be the right time to purchase a home. You’ll find mortgage lenders are not sympathetic towards missed payments and it’s best to only buy a home when you are confident you will be able to afford the monthly payments for the foreseeable future and feel your job is secure.

When you do purchase a home, it’s best if you plan to stay there for several years to try to recoup the costs, and the article in aol.com has a link to a calculator that can help you determine the breakeven point on your home purchase compared to renting. This will show you whether or not you should continue renting a home for the time being. Buying a property might also not be a good idea if you intend to move cities or think there is a possibility of doing so in the future, perhaps for a job. It can be difficult to sell a home at short notice without incurring large losses.

If you’re thinking about buying a home with a partner then have a good think about the stability of the relationship. If there is the possibility you could split in the future then it might be best to buy on your own, or to delay until you feel surer about the long term prospects with your partner.

Also think about your current level of debt. If you have a high debt ratio it might not be the right time to make such a large financial commitment. As a general rule of thumb, if your expenses come to more than 50% of your monthly income you probably wouldn’t be able to get a mortgage in any case, and even if you could secure a loan it would be at a higher interest rate which may end up costing you thousands of dollars over the entire loan. Instead it’s better to think about paying down your debts before purchasing a home.

Alternative Commercial Real Estate Investments

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When you think about commercial real estate investments, you probably think of apartment buildings, office space, retail, industrial, and hotels. In recent years, Institutional investors and developers have been narrowing their investment horizon into niches of these traditional and not so traditional sectors. They’ve been specializing in niches like student housing, seniors housing, medical office buildings, and self-storage facilities. These and other nontraditional commercial real estate sectors are worth taking a closer look at.

Farmland. Although it fell out of favor following WWII, farmland has been commercially exploited since the beginning of written history. Mostly in the form of leasing and sharecropping. Recently, the Gladstone Land Corporation became one of the first publicly traded farmland REITs. This company invests in farms that grow annual farm crops, as well as investing in storage facilities, processing plants, packaging plants, and distribution centers.

Data centers. There can be little doubt that technology will continue screaming forward at break neck speeds. Cloud storage of all this data has made its way to the forefront of today’s technology. But there’s no cloud out there. All of that data requires millions of square feet of specialized storage facilities and equipment. Networking firm Cisco, estimates global “cloud” traffic will quadruple between 2013 and 2017, to 5.3 zettabytes. Whatever a zettabyte is?

Billboards. You may not think of roadside advertising billboards as real estate but that’s how the IRS qualifies them, which means they can be expensed and depreciated like commercial real estate. There are REITs working on this commercial real estate model. With billboards you at least don’t have to deal with live-in tenants.

Self-storage. All across the country, self-storage facilities are coming online. As baby boomers downsize, this market can be expected to continue growing. Currently, demand exceeds supply and according to research by Marcus & Millichap Real Estate Investment Services, this commercial real estate sector will continue growing by double digits for years to come.

Student housing. Since the turn around from the recession, developers have been stepping into the student housing market where state institutions once dominated. The state universities and colleges seem to be fine with this since it frees up limited funds for better academic uses.

Medical buildings. This asset class is only going to grow from the combined pressures the Affordable Care Act and the millions of baby boomers needing more medical care as they age. The trend is towards more localized, lower cost services adjacent to the more expensive hospital settings.

Several types of senior housing. Along with more medical facilities, the tens of millions of retiring baby boomers are driving up the demand for more senior housing. This comes in several forms that vary from 55 and over secure communities of smaller houses, to assisted care, to fully staffed nursing home facilities.

Although some or all of these emerging opportunities will become highly profitable, you still need to perform your due diligence. There’s probably not enough money to go around for the wants and needs of everyone. The market for the Millennial and Generation X first time homebuyers didn’t make the list because it appears to now be served by the institutional rental house REITs that have come to dominate the market. Also, after the baby boomers pay for their children’s student housing and education they may have to put off moving into senior housing for many years.

What Makes a Good Rental Property?

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What makes a good or great rental property is a personal decision. It depends on the types of tenants you want to deal with. The vacancy rate you’re willing to deal with (which can include vandalism and other property crimes). The amount of profit you want to earn on your investment. And a host of other questions or issues that you need to be knowledgeable about before making a long term investment.

Where to Find Neighborhood Information

As an investor, you’re best off doing your own research of neighborhoods before investing. The type of information you want to learn includes:

Property taxes – from your local tax assessment office.

School quality – state and local superintendent of schools

Crime – local police departments

Employment – U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Amenities – visit the neighborhood and take notice of parks, malls, gyms, movie theaters, public transport hubs, and all the other amenities. Future developments and building permits – municipal planning department.

Real estate listings and vacancies – local real estate and property management companies.

Rents – property management companies, advertisements, door-to-door survey.

One very good source of information is visiting neighborhoods during evening hours and on weekends when people are home from work. Talk to people working in their yards and walking dogs. Try to find renters in the neighborhood. Renters are more likely to give you the most realistic opinion of the neighborhood because they don’t have a financial investment. Once you have a significant interest in a specific neighborhood, visit it on different days of the week and different times of the day to gain real knowledge of what goes on at different times.

Understanding Income Levels

In my personal opinion, I favor rentals in urban settings that have a dense population of working class people. Neighborhoods with a mix of rental properties and homeowners. These are often a short distance from inner city war zones where gangsters rule instead of the police, vandalism is high, and the unemployed can’t make the rent payment. Don’t get me wrong, I certainly don’t recommend investing in these war zones. However, adjacent or a short distant from them is where you often find neighborhoods that are a mix of rentals and homeowners where blue collar workers take care of homes and work with police to keep the crime level down.

Of course, income levels across the U.S. vary significantly from region to region and state to state but the most recent Census Bureau numbers show the national medium income at $51,324. Other statistics show that households earning above the income medium have a home ownership rate of 79.5% and those earning below the medium income have a home ownership rate of 49.8%. What this implies is that neighborhoods with average incomes slightly below the national average are going to be a good mix of rentals and homeowners.

Finding the Right Mix

Each city has good cities and towns. Each city and town has good neighborhoods. And many neighborhoods have good rental properties. The secret to a good rental investment is doing the research to make all three characteristics line up. Successful real estate investing doesn’t start with buying just any old property that is currently available. It begins with deep research to find the best rental neighborhood you can and then finding or waiting for the best property to come on the market.

Guidelines for Maintaining Commercial Carpets

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Maintaining your commercial carpet properly will ultimately save you money because it will give your carpet a longer life expectancy. Commercial carpeting in particular suffers from the wear and tear caused by hundreds of feet trampling it daily.

It’s very easy for it to accumulate dirt, grime, and stains and eventually to wear out altogether. Luckily, you can clean your commercial carpet yourself without being forced to hire a professional cleaning company like the Steam Cleaning Kings Brisbane. Here are some suggestions on how to maintain your commercial carpet:

Getting Started

The first thing you need to do is to pay a visit to your local home improvement store and rent a steam cleaner. Depending on where you go, they may require you to show two forms of ID plus leave a refundable deposit. Next, when you arrive back at the office you remove all of the furniture from the room where the carpet is to be cleaned. Vacuum the carpet thoroughly to remove all surface dirt, grime, dust and other debris that have gathered there over time. Do a good job because the less dirt and other things the carpet cleaning machine has to ride over the better it can clean your carpet? Any professional cleaning company like the Steam Cleaning Kings Brisbane will tell you that this is one of the first rules in carpet cleaning.

Cleaning the Carpet

Once you bring the carpet cleaning machine into the room remove the water container and fill it to just below the line indicated with water as hot as you can get it. Then add 3 full cups of white vinegar to the water. Replace the water container back on the steam cleaner. Why are you using vinegar? You may ask. That’s because vinegar is a natural disinfectant and deodorizer that can eliminate even the most hard to kill bacteria and germs. Even professional cleaning services like the Commercial Carpet Cleaning Kings will admit that much if you ask them.

Now you are ready to begin. Start at the area of the room which is farthest from the entrance and slowly work your way toward it. As you push the steam cleaning machine forward squeeze the button to release the vinegar-water mixture into the carpet. Be careful not to press the button to long because you don’t want to saturate the carpet. Pull the steam cleaner directly back in the same path you pushed it forward in. Doing this scrubs the carpet and sucks the excess water-vinegar solution back into the machine and into the dirty water container. Follow the same process until the entire carpet is thoroughly cleaned.

Give the carpet plenty of time to dry completely before placing the office furniture back in the room. Heavily Soiled Carpet

Areas of commercial carpets that are heavily soiled can be very difficult to clean as any professional carpet cleaner like the Commercial Carpet Cleaning Kings will tell you. High-traffic areas collect more dirt than the rest of the office and also have crushed carpet fibers. These carpets will require more than one cleaning. Also in the vacuuming process you will have to use a carpet rake to help remove loosen up all dirt and debris in the carpet. Doing this also stands the carpet fibers up, making them easier to clean.

Memphis Grilled

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Naturally, Memphis was on the list when the Travel Channel went looking for locations to film “American Grilled”. In a city famous for its many grilling chefs, it doesn’t hurt to have the show label you as a star Master Griller. Those are impressive bragging rights and the $10,000 prize money doesn’t hurt either.

The title of the episode is “Battle on Beale Street” with Clint Cantwell beating out three other contestants to be declared the winner. This is the show’s first season and it’s filmed on location in different cities across the country. It’s similar to the format of the Food Network’s “Chopped”. Local ingredients are used as mystery ingredients and one of four contestants are eliminated in three rounds. A panel of three judges makes the decisions of who moves forward after each round. Clint Cantwell was the one still standing at the end of the Memphis episode.

Clint’s Story Chef and judge Kelly English complimented Clint for his unique and nontraditional use of the mystery ingredients bologna and red cabbage in round one. Clint came up with a bacon wrapped smoked bologna with mustard and a grilled red cabbage sauerkraut. Clint commented that his goal was to showcase the local ingredients in the best way he could think of.

Clint has a background in grilling but only recently moved to Memphis from NYC. However, he’s originally from Texas so he was showing New Yorkers a thing or two about grilling while he was there. And he’s not brand new to Memphis either. His wife’s parents live in Memphis and Clint and his wife have been coming to Memphis BBQ contests for many years.

Clint entered his first BBQ competition in Long Island, New York in 1997. After that, he has been competing in dozens of competitions every year. While in New York, Clint organized the competitive BBQ team “SmokeInDaEye” that caught the attention of Kingsford Charcoal. The company hired him to help develop and edit the blog grilling.com. A part time job he still does today. By career, Clint owns and operates a public relations business. One of his clients is the Memphis Barbecue Co.

Making the Cut for the Show The original interview process was done long distance via Skype.

The original group was narrowed down and those making the cut were brought to the network. When Clint made the first cut, he knew he had a real chance at being on the show. In preparation for the contest, he did try practicing a little at home. However, he said there wasn’t much he could really do to prepare because no episodes of the show had aired and he had no idea what the cooking set up would be, the time restrictions he would have to work within, or what curve balls might be thrown at him. About the only thing he could do was to experiment grilling some unusual ingredients.

Winning the “American Grilled” Grill Master title in Memphis isn’t Clint’s first experience with television. He has also appeared on CNN, Fox News, Nightline, Food Network, Spike TV, Newsweek, SeriousEats.com, Eater.com, Today show online, and others. Clint continues traveling the country in search of the people, places, and tastes behind our shared grilling culture. One thing you can say about Clint is that he takes his grilling and BBQ seriously. Clint is now one more grilling legend hailing from Memphis.